The Covid vaccine manufactured by Pfizer and BioNTech appears to be 100 per cent effective in protecting against the South African variant, according to new research.
Two studies carried out on the Pfizer vaccine found it offers complete protection against the South African variant, and likely offer protection against the Brazilian variant.
Research published by Pfizer/BioNTech on Thursday offers the first in-human evidence of how the vaccine protects against the South African variant.
Scientists have previously expressed concern about the efficacy of existing vaccines against new and emerging strains.
What did the study show?
The pharmaceutical giant said its findings show the vaccine is 100% effective in preventing Covid-19 cases in South Africa - where the South African variant is now common.
Among 800 people in South Africa, nine cases of the South African variant of Covid were observed - all in the group not given the vaccine.
Of the nine people who fell ill, analysis showed they had six of nine known South African variant strains.
Pfizer said the data supports "previous results from immunogenicity studies demonstrating that (the vaccine) induced a robust neutralising antibody response to the (South African) variant".
The 800 people were part of a larger, phase three clinical trial also showing the vaccine was highly effective even after six months.
Ugur Sahin, BioNTech's chief executive, said the trial figures "provide the first clinical results that a vaccine can effectively protect against currently circulating variants, a critical factor for herd immunity, and end this pandemic for the global population".
Professor Peter Openshaw, from Imperial College London, welcomed the study but pointed to the low number of coronavirus cases that occurred in the South African arm of the trial.
"It might be 100% effective, but as more data accumulates it is possible that cases will appear that show a lower protection rate," he said.
He added that the study looked at severe disease but "it seems likely" that the jab "will reduce less severe types of infection as well".
What about the Brazilian variant?
A second study found the Pfizer vaccine produces an "off the scale" immune response that is likely to protect against the Brazilian variant of Covid-19.
This, the largest study on antibody and cellular immune factors to date, suggests people are likely to be protected against the Wuhan, Kent and Brazilian types of coronavirus following two doses of the Pfizer jab.
The research, led by the University of Birmingham and including Public Health England's Porton Down laboratory, found 98% of people aged 80 or over who had two doses of the Pfizer jab had a strong antibody immune response.
Some 100 people aged 80 to 96 received their vaccine doses three weeks apart, before the UK adopted a policy of stretching the time between jabs to 12 weeks.
A preprint with The Lancet, the research found those people who previously had natural Covid-19 infection had a peak antibody response after just one Pfizer vaccination.
The antibody response in these people remained 28-fold higher even after the second vaccine dose.
Blood samples from all participants showed the original Wuhan strain was strongly neutralised after two doses of the jab.
While neutralisation reduced 14-fold when tested against the Brazilian variant, experts believe the very high immune response generated by the vaccine is enough to provide protection against that strain.
The study found cellular T cell responses developed in 63% of the older people given two doses of the Pfizer jab.
Like the cells which produce antibodies, T cells are crucial to the immune system's response to viral infection.
Professor Paul Moss, from the University of Birmingham and leader of the UK Coronavirus Immunology Consortium, told a briefing: "In terms of the variants and how we control them, people seem to be taking two broad approaches.
"One is we can develop another vaccine, a booster against these specific variants, so we perhaps have a South African booster vaccine - that's one approach and people are working on that.
"The other potential is that you boost your antibody levels so high from whatever vaccine you have that there's enough to go around and you cope with the variant.
"We've certainly seen in this paper that the antibody levels are so good, really after the first two weeks, that we are pretty confident that this should be very helpful against the Brazilian variant."
Asked if he is surprised how well the vaccines have worked in older people, he said: "We were. When we sent these samples to Porton Down they said 'we can't give you results right now because we've got to dilute them because they're so high, they're off the scale'.
"The antibody levels were so high that they'd gone above the thresholds so they had to dilute them."
But he added it will be crucial to see how long antibody levels are maintained after people have had a Covid-19 vaccine.
"It will be important to assess that and whether they wane at different rates in people of different ages," he said.
"I think that's something that we have to watch out for."
What about the Oxford/Astrazeneca vaccine?
Although the new study did not look at the Oxford University/AstraZeneca vaccine, Prof Moss said the evidence for the jab is that "it's very, very effective".
Mene Pangalos, executive vice president for biopharmaceuticals research and development at AstraZeneca, told a briefing last month he believes that "against severe disease, our vaccine will be effective against all variants of concern".
South Africa has put its rollout of the AstraZeneca vaccine on hold after a trial showed it offered "minimal protection" against mild and moderate cases.
But experts are hopeful that the vaccine will still be effective at preventing severe disease.
Prof Moss said: "The UK has a strong portfolio of vaccines - Pfizer, AstraZeneca, we've got Moderna coming very soon, and Novavax as well.
"So yes, I think it's possible that we can have very broad vaccine coverage across the UK very quickly."
How will this impact the lifting of restrictions?
Prof Moss said the UK's plan to exit lockdown appears to be "on track", with policies to control variants, the development of new vaccines and a strong immunisation programme.
"I think we can be confident about gaining control of variants with the current plans, and also leaving lockdown," he said.
First author on the paper, Dr Helen Parry, a National Institute for Health Research academic clinical lecturer at the University of Birmingham, said: "Our research provides further evidence that the mRNA vaccine platform delivers a strong immune antibody response in people up to 96 years of age and retains broad efficacy against the P.1 (Brazilian) variant, which is a variant of concern."